Sunday, November 6, 2011

Is Disarmament Actually Preventing War?

Nuclear non-proliferation has been a main aim of states across the globe for countless years. However, only in the past few years has it been successful. The Cold War era brought consistent animosity and strife between the U.S. and the Soviet Union as they fought a seemingly never-ending arms race. However, as years progressed, the hostility lessened into a virtual nothingness. Now, the United States, Russia and countries around the world have been working to dismantle any nuclear warfare that they have, not only erasing any threats to one another, but creating a new peace that the world hasn’t experienced since the early 1960’s. More importantly is that the U.S. and numerous other countries are working to create peace through nuclear non-proliferation and winning the war against war. Despite this welcome advancement in world peace, critics question many issues surrounding disarmament, especially of the vulnerabilities that nuclear non-proliferation will bring to the United States without a strong source of warfare to protect us. The plan for nuclear peace between Russia and the U.S. is under controversy, as many wonder how much peace it will actually ensure. Furthermore, the dismantling of the B53 bomb brings into question the security and success of plans for future types of warfare and protection. Therefore, even if disarmament has extinguished one type of war that has sparked the fear of millions throughout recent history, it is igniting a new fear for newer wars in the future. In this sense, disarmament is simply creating even more war, instead of defeating it.


Starting around 1961 with the Cuban Missile Crisis, the United States and the Soviet Union had constant tension that led to an arms race sparking fear among millions. Although treaties have been put into place for a couple decades, only recently has nuclear disarmament truly been enacted. Last Tuesday, the U.S. began dismantling the “last of the nation's most powerful nuclear bombs” (US). The dismantling of the B53 bomb, which was “put into service in 1962, when Cold War tensions peaked during the Cuban Missile Crisis,” marks the end of a dismantling program that the U.S. began in an effort to create a more secure peace surrounding nuclear warfare (US). According to Joe Cirincione, the dismantling of nuclear weapons and finally the last B53 bomb is “a chapter of the old War that we are putting behind us” (Fox). Thomas D'Agostino, the nuclear administration's chief, called the bomb's elimination a "significant milestone." According to Hans Kristensen, a spokesman for the Federation of American Scientists, the B53's disassembly ends the era of big megaton bombs.


However, despite the countless advantages of a nuclear safe world, others call upon many concerns. Many question how sure the United States is that Russia is also dismantling their nuclear stockpile. Many worry that a lack of nuclear warfare will put the United States into a state of vulnerability that would in turn allow for Russia to attack the United States (Fox). “Among other criticisms, US opponents of the treaty argued Russia would have reduced stockpiles anyway as its arsenal aged, so the US had no reason to agree to scrap its own nuclear arms” (BBC). In order to quell these apprehensions, “US President Barack Obama has signed an arms treaty with Russia that would reduce the nations' nuclear arsenals and bolster verification mechanisms” (BBC). The treaty allows for the two countries to inspect the dismantling of the nuclear weapons and creates procedures for the handling during and after the process (Fox). “The New Start treaty, agreed to by Mr. Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in April, limits each side to no more than 800 deployed nuclear warhead delivery systems (including bombers, missile launchers and nuclear submarines), a cut of about 50%. It limits each side to 1,550 deployed warheads” (BBC). “He [President Obama] indicated that he hoped to use (the) treaty signing with Russia as a stepping stone toward more ambitious reductions in nuclear arsenals down the road, but suggested that would have to extend beyond the old paradigm of Russian-American relations” (Sanger). According to the president, “we are going to pursue opportunities for further reductions in our nuclear posture, working in tandem with Russia but also working in tandem with NATO as a whole.” In this case, the U.S. has created a peace between the countries that will prevent another war.


Others are upset over the restriction of the construction of new nuclear warfare. Instead, they must “modernize the stockpile of nuclear weapons that we already have “ (Weighing). However, Sanger points out that the United States has not put to use any of the nuclear weapons in any of our current stockpile. Therefore, this should not be an issue at all. President Obama also felt it would be hypocritical to create new weapons when we are urging other countries like Japan and North Korea to eliminate their supplies (Weighing).


Moreover, many question whether the disarmament of these nuclear weapons will simply provoke attacks from other countries. According to David Sanger of the New York Times, a nuclear attack on the United States would not be from another state, but from a nuclear group (Weighing). In order to solve this issue, President Obama says that it is important for other states to destroy their nuclear weapons as well so that there is no way for terrorists to get their hands on them (Weighing). Furthermore, although we aren’t using nuclear weapons, “we can knockout most of the command structures we need with non-nuclear weapons“ that the U.S. now has (Fox). “Today's bombs are smaller but more precise, reducing the amount of collateral damage” lessening the damage that older nuclear weapons could have potentially caused (US). Mr. Obama stated that “We are going to want to make sure that we can continue to move towards less emphasis on nuclear weapons, and make sure that our conventional weapons capability is an effective deterrent in all but the most extreme circumstances. However, in this instance, the U.S. is not eliminating war, but instead shifting the way that they fight war.

Perhaps one of the most alarming issues of the nuclear non-proliferation is the American nuclear strategy to substantially narrow the conditions under which the United States would use nuclear weapons (Sanger). “Mr. Obama described his policy as part of a broader effort to edge the world toward making nuclear weapons obsolete, and to create incentives for countries to give up any nuclear ambitions” (Sanger). “For the first time, the United States is explicitly committing not to use nuclear weapons against nonnuclear states that are in compliance with the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, even if they attacked the United States with biological or chemical weapons or launched a crippling cyberattack” (Sanger). Critics feel that this policy creates a situation in which the U.S. is basically welcoming attacks from other countries. Those threats, Mr. Obama argued, could be deterred with “a series of graded options,” a combination of old and new conventional weapons. It appears that the U.S. is not preventing attacks from other countries, just basically asking them to attack us in a new way, and saying that we won’t attack them back. This too, does not seem to be obliterating any type of war.

There appears to be many loopholes in the seemingly ideal non-proliferation actions taken by the U.S., Russia and perhaps more countries around the world. Although it first appears to be a successful defeat of the always possible nuclear warfare, the policy welcomes the introduction of new types of warfare and opens the United States up to new vulnerabilities that we did not have before. However, the disarmament of these nuclear weapons does not mean that our entire stockpile has been destroyed, just the strongest. And maybe, this is satisfactory for the millions that remember the terror that spread across the globe during the Cold War era and can be accepted by those who did not experience that, as they can safely say that they do not have to worry about nuclear warfare evoked by another state.


Works Cited
"BBC News - New Start Treaty: Obama Signs US-Russia Nuclear Papers." BBC - Homepage. Web. 27 Oct. 2011. .
Sanger, David E., and Peter Baker. "Obama Limits When U.S. Would Use Nuclear Arms - NYTimes.com." The New York Times - Breaking News, World News & Multimedia. 05 Apr. 2010. Web. 28 Oct. 2011. .
"U.S. Dismantles Last B53 Mega Nuke Bomb - Fox News Video - Fox News." Fox News Video News Breaking Video News Updates Latest News Videos. Web. 30 Oct. 2011. .
"US's Most Powerful Nuclear Bomb Being Dismantled - Yahoo! News." Yahoo! News - Latest News & Headlines. Web. 27 Oct. 2011. .
"Weighing Nuclear-Free Options - Video Library - The New York Times." Video Library Home Page - The New York Times. Web. 27 Oct. 2011. .

9 comments:

  1. This was a very interesting paper and I'm glad someone tried to argue nuclear proliferation as increasing conflict being most people tend to argue that it is beneficial. In one part of your paper you said that by putting less emphasis on nuclear weapons we were not eliminating war but shifting the way that we fight war. Could you explain this further? To my way of thinking this would not show a change in how we fight war at all but a consistency in how we fight war being there has not been an extensive use of nuclear weapons in war. Also I think I have to disagree with the statement that agreeing to not use nuclear weapons against nonnuclear states in an event of an attack will open us up to attacks. I think even without nuclear weapons the US military is still strong enough that states would not want to attack us. I think the US could fight against any of the types of attack you mentioned. Also means of warfare such as chemical warfare have been identified as illegal in the Geneva Convention. This would mean that in a situation such as this we would have the support of the international community.

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  2. I found your paper very interesting. I was wondering what you think about calls for nuclear non-proliferatipn in light of the actions of countries like Iran. Even if friendly countries agree to reduce their stockpiles in hopes of eliminating nuclear war as a possibility, there are still countries that are working to develop nuclear weapons and seem willing to use them. (This issue has been highlighted recently with the threats flying between Israel and Iran.) Do you think that the possible development of nuclear weapons by non-friendly states is a reason to keep up one's stockpile of weapons?

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  3. Intriguing article, but I was quite curious about the part of your paper where you mentioned, “For the first time, the United States is explicitly committing not to use nuclear weapons against nonnuclear states that are in compliance with the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, even if they attacked the United States with biological or chemical weapons or launched a crippling cyberattack” (Sanger)." Is there evidence to support the idea that the United States would launch a nuclear missile in retaliation for a cyberattack during a previous administration? In my opinion it seems a bit extreme and unwarranted that the United States would respond to a cyberattack with such hard power.

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  4. Interesting paper! I really think you were able to make the point that just because a resolution is in order does not necessarily mean a situation is stable. I'm wondering where you see the landscape of nuclear disarmament progressing from here. Because the US is in many ways more vulnerable, do you see the country at any point wanting to shift policy? This relates back to the collective goods problem: contributing by giving up part of one country's own abilities to achieve a larger goal. In your opinion, what does the future look like with all of these loopholes?

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  5. Jas: First of all, development of newer more precise types of warfare are being worked on. Therefore, we aren't eliminating war, just creating new types. Also, critics argue that eliminating such a huge means of protection is making us susceptible to attack by other countries. In a few of his speeches, President Obama said that the U.S. would not fight back if attacked by other countries (whether a nuclear attack, chemical, etc) through nuclear warfare. The wrry that taking out such a huge source of protction makes the US look weak and open to vulnerability. Does that clear things up?

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  6. Jenny-Sue: Absolutely! I think that yes, nuclear war is not even anything that anyone wants at all. But, I believe that the U.S. does need it as a safety net, even if we never plan on using them. It's better to be safe than sorry.

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  7. I think that President Obama had made this a factor in his new nuclear plan because it was never said in the past. He is saying it now to make his policy clear that the U.S. has no plans to use nuclear attacks in the future. I might be confused by what you are asking but I hope that I was able to answer!

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  8. Caroline: I feel like the U.S. will be concerned about our vulnerability and shift the policy in the future. I forget what source that I read this in but I'm pretty sure that President Obama did say that he would shift the policy if necessary.

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  9. In response to Jenny Sue's comment, I think that disarmament can go hand in hand with policing rogue states like Iran. Even with the new start treaty, America can maintain something like fifteen hundred nuclear warheads. To me, this seems like it is more than enough to guard countries like Iran who are trying to develop nuclear weapons or to guard against attack from other countries who might be looking to attack America. The value of a deterrent remains, even if rather than having enough nuclear weapons to destroy the earth five times over America can only do it twice. Cutting the nuclear arsenal down in such a manner successfully reduces the number of nuclear weapons in the world, without reducing the power of those weapons as a deterrent. Most likely just one of those warheads would be enough to destroy Tehran, let alone all fifteen hundred.

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